COVID-19 Research

A number of CHICAS research staff and students are now devoting much of their research efforts to COVID-19-related activity. Our modelling activities are helping to advise and support pandemic response and decision making in the UK and internationally. We currently have representation on SPI-M (the modelling group advising UK DHSC) and the WHO COVID-19 modelling group, as well as working with regional NHS and public health groups.

Early Outbreak Modelling

Jon Read, Jessica Bridgen, Chris Jewell and colleagues from the Universities of Florida and Glasgow produced a paper based on the early data from Wuhan.

International Case/Death Dashboard

Max Eyre has built a web application for plotting case counts and other time-series data from Johns Hopkins CSSE and Public Health England.

UK/World Map Dashboard

Simon Alderton has produced a web-based dashboard for the analysis of the latest UK (PHE) and international (JH) data collected from the outbreak. Items include animated representations of transmission at different spatial scales through time, and numbers of tests performed, and cases identified, in the UK.

Real-time Epidemic Mapping

Peter Diggle and Claudio Fronterrè have been working with colleagues at Swansea University for the Welsh government to map the epidemic in near-real time using data-feeds from the Covid Symptom Reporting App, and with colleagues imperial College to conduct geospatial analyses of the REACT series of randomised Covid prevalence surveys.

Care Homes during COVID

The coronavirus pandemic hit care homes hard - leading to a doubling of deaths among residents during the April 2020 peak of the pandemic. Now a team of researchers led by Lancaster University, including data scientists and clinicians, aim to gain a clearer picture of how COVID-19 patients were managed in UK care homes as the pandemic unfolded. Their research will offer insights into how different homes dealt with the crisis and provide valuable information to help guide Government, care home managers and staff in future crises.

An updated list of related preprints and publications will be kept in the links section of this web page.